With these sides heading into their meeting on very different runs of form, we are predicting Nantes to come out on top here thanks to their high spirits following their successes in recent weeks.
The hosts struggle to find the back of the net on so many occasions, and with Nantes boasting one of the meanest defences in Ligue 1, we are predicting a low-scoring encounter on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Metz had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
