SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
| 49.72% | 24.58% | 25.71% |
| Both teams to score 53.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.46% | 70.54% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% | 19.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.63% | 51.37% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% | 33.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.26% | 69.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 5.2% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.72% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.71% |
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