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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
PL

Nantes
3 - 1
PSG

Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Neymar (47')
Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')

We said: Nantes 2-3 Paris Saint-Germain

PSG will have exerted a lot of energy in their midweek Champions League showdown with Real Madrid, but they will still be strong favourites to come away with victory against Nantes. The hosts, meanwhile, cannot be underestimated and will likely cause problems for the league leaders in the final third. Nevertheless, the Parisian outfit should do enough to secure all three points from what should be an entertaining contest at the Stade de la Beaujoire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawParis Saint-Germain
13.65%19.24%67.11%
Both teams to score 50.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51%42.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11%64.89%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.2%42.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88%79.12%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28%11.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.15%36.84%
Score Analysis
    Nantes 13.65%
    Paris Saint-Germain 67.1%
    Draw 19.24%
NantesDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 4.26%
2-1 @ 3.87%
2-0 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.18%
3-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 13.65%
1-1 @ 9.13%
0-0 @ 5.02%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 19.24%
0-2 @ 11.52%
0-1 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-3 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 6.99%
0-4 @ 4.42%
1-4 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.97%
0-5 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 67.1%

Read more!
Read more!


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