SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
| 35.62% | 25.59% | 38.78% |
| Both teams to score 55.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% | 48.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% | 70.57% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% | 26.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.53% | 61.47% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% | 24.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.93% | 59.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.26% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.78% |
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