SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Orleans had a probability of 11.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-3 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Orleans win it was 2-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orleans | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
11.98% ( 1.2) | 15.92% ( 0.08) | 72.09% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( 4.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.41% ( 3.23) | 30.59% ( -3.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.1% ( 3.76) | 51.9% ( -3.76) |
| Orleans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% ( 4.27) | 37.47% ( -4.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.74% ( 3.95) | 74.26% ( -3.96) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.58% ( 0.51) | 7.42% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.27% ( 1.3) | 26.72% ( -1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orleans | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.8% Total : 11.98% | 1-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.47)0-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.53)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.92% | 0-2 @ 9.41% ( -1.23) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 8.15% ( -0.83)1-3 @ 8% ( 0.16)0-1 @ 7.23% ( -1.16)0-4 @ 5.3% ( -0.39)1-4 @ 5.2% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.5)0-5 @ 2.76% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 2.71% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.38)2-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.23)0-6 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.17% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.92% Total : 72.09% |
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