SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
41.41% ( 2.64) | 23.91% ( 0.4) | 34.68% ( -3.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.42% ( -1.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% ( -2.34) | 40.76% ( 2.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% ( -2.44) | 63.15% ( 2.44) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( 0.21) | 19.94% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.91% ( 0.33) | 52.09% ( -0.34) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( -2.63) | 23.28% ( 2.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.79% ( -3.98) | 57.21% ( 3.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.82)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.69)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.39)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.5)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.33)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.31)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.24)Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.68% |
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