Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
29.18% ( -0.5) | 22.62% ( 0.13) | 48.2% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.09% ( -0.95) | 36.91% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.91% ( -1.04) | 59.09% ( 1.04) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( -0.79) | 24.65% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.83% ( -1.12) | 59.17% ( 1.13) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.31% ( -0.22) | 15.69% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.25% ( -0.41) | 44.75% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.18% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 48.2% |
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