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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
PL

Lens
0 - 2
PSG


Gradit (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barcola (30'), Mbappe (89')
Soler (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco (5-6 pen.)
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Revel 0-9 PSG
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lens 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

The old gang should be back together in terms of Lens' centre-back trio, but with lingering doubts over the fitness of several full-backs, PSG's tricky wide men could have a field day at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Twelve months on from Lens' memorable success in this fixture, history should not repeat itself for reigning champions PSG, who are the only Ligue 1 team without an away defeat this term and should maintain that unblemished record in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
29.18% (-0.505 -0.5) 22.62% (0.13 0.13) 48.2% (0.379 0.38)
Both teams to score 63.53% (-0.834 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.09% (-0.95 -0.95)36.91% (0.954 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.91% (-1.038 -1.04)59.09% (1.042 1.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.789 -0.79)24.65% (0.793 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (-1.122 -1.12)59.17% (1.127 1.13)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)15.69% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.25% (-0.412 -0.41)44.75% (0.41699999999999 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Lens 29.18%
    Paris Saint-Germain 48.2%
    Draw 22.62%
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.42% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.79% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.18%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.276 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 48.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco (5-6 pen.)
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Lens
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-0 Reims
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Revel 0-9 PSG
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 2-0 Toulouse
Wednesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Trophee des Champions
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Metz
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 PSG
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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