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PL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
ML

PSG
3 - 1
Metz

Vitinha (49'), Mbappe (60', 83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Udol (72')
Herelle (32')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 1-1 PSG
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Metz

It would not be beyond the realm of possibility for Metz to switch to a defence-heavy setup in a bid to quell the PSG strikeforce, who are normally in a merciless mood at the Parc des Princes, but their resistance should ultimately prove futile. Profligacy has harmed Enrique's men heading into the Christmas period, but a straightforward success - their 14th in a row against Metz - should come their way before the New Year celebrations commence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMetz
74.47% (-0.545 -0.55) 15.29% (0.553 0.55) 10.23% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-2.479 -2.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.26% (-2.966 -2.97)32.73% (2.965 2.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.58% (-3.506 -3.51)54.41% (3.504 3.5)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.55% (-0.78099999999999 -0.78)7.45% (0.78 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.21% (-2.069 -2.07)26.79% (2.068 2.07)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58% (-2.169 -2.17)41.99% (2.169 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.57% (-1.937 -1.94)78.42% (1.936 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.47%
    Metz 10.23%
    Draw 15.29%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMetz
2-0 @ 10.54% (0.806 0.81)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 9.13% (0.345 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.932 0.93)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.15% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.287 -0.29)
5-0 @ 3.08% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-1 @ 2.67% (-0.294 -0.29)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.289 -0.29)
6-0 @ 1.33% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.206 -0.21)
6-1 @ 1.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 74.47%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.13% (0.471 0.47)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.29%
1-2 @ 3.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.71% (0.269 0.27)
0-2 @ 1.18% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 1-1 PSG
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 PSG
Sunday, December 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Newcastle
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Metz
Sunday, December 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Metz
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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