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PL
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Mar 17, 2021 at 4.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
L

PSG
3 - 0
Lille

Icardi (9'), Mbappe (41' pen., 90+3')
Rafinha (3'), Gueye (64'), Mbappe (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bradaric (18'), Djalo (40'), Xeka (44'), Ikone (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lille had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
52.74%24.08%23.18%
Both teams to score 52.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44%48.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31%70.68%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5%49.49%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59%35.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83%72.16%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 52.73%
    Lille 23.18%
    Draw 24.08%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 9.34%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.75%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.18%

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