Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lille had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.