Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 38.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.9%) and 2-3 (4.6%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
