Reims' rearguard may have been breached at will by PSG last weekend, but the hosts have otherwise proved a tough nut to crack and possess youthful talent in abundance up top.
Even the most ardent of Bastia supporters cannot expect their side to produce the shock of all shocks by going all the way in the tournament, and the Ligue 2 strugglers will likely come up short here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%).
