Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Bastia win it was 1-0 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
