SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 41.01% | 28.27% | 30.72% |
| Both teams to score 46.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.04% | 59.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.79% | 80.2% |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% | 28.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.44% | 64.55% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.63% | 35.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.87% | 72.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.71% |
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