Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
Result | ||
Sochaux | Draw | Lorient |
55.37% ( 0.24) | 22.76% ( -0.13) | 21.87% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.66% ( 0.46) | 44.33% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.29% ( 0.44) | 66.71% ( -0.44) |
Sochaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.12% ( 0.24) | 15.88% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.9% ( 0.44) | 45.09% ( -0.44) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% ( 0.16) | 34.27% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% ( 0.17) | 70.97% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Sochaux | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 55.37% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.76% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.87% |
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