Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.