Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Metz in this match.
Result | ||
Sochaux | Draw | Metz |
25.83% ( 0.75) | 25.74% ( 0.43) | 48.43% ( -1.19) |
Both teams to score 50.36% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47% ( -1.14) | 53% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.4% ( -0.98) | 74.59% ( 0.98) |
Sochaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.49% ( 0.02) | 35.51% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.72% ( 0.02) | 72.27% ( -0.03) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% ( -0.98) | 21.9% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.84% ( -1.52) | 55.15% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Sochaux | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) Other @ 2% Total : 25.83% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.42% |
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