Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Metz in this match.
0.75) 
-1.19) 
