Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.