While Toulouse have lost just two games at home this term, Reims have been beaten only twice on their travels. A close contest is in store, then, but the visitors have momentum on their side and can secure a place in the last eight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
0.16) 
-0.05) 
