Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Reims |
40.9% ( 0.16) | 26.61% ( -0.05) | 32.49% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.56% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% ( 0.17) | 53.28% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( 0.14) | 74.83% ( -0.14) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( 0.16) | 25.65% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( 0.22) | 60.56% ( -0.22) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( 0.01) | 30.65% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.11% ( 0.01) | 66.89% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.49% |
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