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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
R

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Reims


Youssouf (16'), Nouri (19'), El Idrissy (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Munetsi (3')
De Smet (50'), Balogun (70'), Adeline (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Reims
Monday, January 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 1-1 Reims

Despite defeat last time out, we cannot ignore that Ajaccio had been on a three-match unbeaten streak. With that in mind, the home side may do enough to earn a share of the spoils against opponents who are proving to be increasingly difficult to overcome this campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Reims in this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawReims
33.4% (-7.383 -7.38) 28.58% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 38.02% (7.364 7.36)
Both teams to score 45.89% (0.65 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.5% (0.469 0.47)60.5% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.38% (0.353 0.35)80.61% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.26% (-4.393 -4.39)33.73% (4.392 4.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (-5.07 -5.07)70.39% (5.07 5.07)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (5.226 5.23)30.74% (-5.225 -5.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (5.743 5.74)67% (-5.744 -5.74)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 33.39%
    Reims 38.02%
    Draw 28.57%
AjaccioDrawReims
1-0 @ 11.26% (-1.67 -1.67)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.89 -0.89)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-1.81 -1.81)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.7 -0.7)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-1.024 -1.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.39%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 10.36% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 12.23% (1.44 1.44)
1-2 @ 7.84% (1.074 1.07)
0-2 @ 7.22% (1.697 1.7)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.777 0.78)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.956 0.96)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.261 0.26)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.319 0.32)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Angers
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Ajaccio
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 4-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 PSG
Friday, October 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Reims
Monday, January 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 3-1 Rennes
Thursday, December 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Reims
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Nantes
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Reims
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Auxerre
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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