Although Brest are yet to concede in either of their two matches since Roy's managerial appointment, we are struggling to see beyond the hosts winning this match quite comfortably in the end.
Toulouse have bagged 14 goals across their last three victories, and while that type of rate may prove unsustainable, they are definitely capable of securing a third successive league win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Brest had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
-0.49) 
0.17) 
