Toulouse enjoyed an unbeaten January to start 2023 in style and now face a struggling Troyes side at home in their first fixture of an action-packed February.
Troyes earned a respectable point against Lens last time out but expended a lot of energy in the process, meaning a trip to Stadium de Toulouse on Wednesday evening is set to be a very tricky assignment.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.03) 
