Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.03) 
