SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Midtjylland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
30.36% ( -0.29) | 25.22% ( -0.12) | 44.43% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( 0.4) | 48.23% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% ( 0.36) | 70.38% ( -0.36) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% | 29.56% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% | 65.59% ( 0) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( 0.36) | 21.71% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.13% ( 0.54) | 54.86% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.43% |
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