Back on the winning trail during the past week, and able to score from a variety of sources, Lazio should take advantage of their hosts' brittle confidence to post a second straight victory in Group H.
They do not tend to travel well - particularly in Europe - but this week provides the perfect opportunity to start improving their sorry stats in that regard.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 43%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.09) 
