SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Viborg FF had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Viborg FF win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Viborg FF |
40.51% ( -0.03) | 25.98% ( 0.05) | 33.51% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( -0.24) | 50.46% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( -0.22) | 72.39% ( 0.21) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( -0.13) | 24.58% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( -0.18) | 59.07% ( 0.17) |
| Viborg FF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( -0.13) | 28.59% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( -0.17) | 64.38% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Viborg FF |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.51% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.51% |
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