SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Randers had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Randers win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Randers |
42.08% ( -0.01) | 25.58% ( -0.02) | 32.34% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% ( 0.12) | 49.04% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% ( 0.11) | 71.12% ( -0.1) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( 0.05) | 23.16% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( 0.07) | 57.04% ( -0.06) |
| Randers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( 0.08) | 28.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( 0.1) | 64.44% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Randers |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.34% |
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