SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Randers win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Randers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Randers | Draw | Aarhus |
37.52% ( 0.19) | 25.6% ( 0.07) | 36.88% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.61% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.58% ( -0.32) | 48.41% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% ( -0.29) | 70.55% ( 0.29) |
| Randers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0.04) | 25.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( -0.06) | 60% ( 0.06) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% ( -0.29) | 25.6% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( -0.4) | 60.48% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Randers | Draw | Aarhus |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.88% |
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