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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Oct 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
BL

Duren Merzenich
0 - 3
Bayern


Sobiech (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (24', 75'), Muller (36' pen.)
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Duren Merzenich and Bayern Munich.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.79%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Duren Merzenich had a probability of 6.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.08%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Duren Merzenich win it was 1-0 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Duren MerzenichDrawBayern Munich
6.65%12.56%80.79%
Both teams to score 47.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.82%32.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.21%53.79%
Duren Merzenich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.22%49.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.49%84.51%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.9%6.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.85%23.15%
Score Analysis
    Duren Merzenich 6.65%
    Bayern Munich 80.79%
    Draw 12.56%
Duren MerzenichDrawBayern Munich
1-0 @ 2.12%
2-1 @ 2.07%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 6.65%
1-1 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 3.03%
2-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 12.56%
0-2 @ 11.88%
0-3 @ 11.08%
0-1 @ 8.49%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-4 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 7.73%
1-4 @ 5.41%
0-5 @ 4.34%
1-5 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-6 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-6 @ 1.41%
2-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 80.79%


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