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BL
UEFA Super Cup | Final
Sep 24, 2020 at 8pm UK
Puskás Aréna
SL

Bayern
2 - 1
Sevilla

Goretzka (34'), Martinez (104')
Alaba (12'), Hernandez (90+1')
FT
(aet)
Ocampos (13' pen.)
Jordan (45+1'), Kounde (55'), Fernando (70'), Escudero (119')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.3%).

Result
Bayern MunichDrawSevilla
58.6%21.67%19.72%
Both teams to score 55.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67%42.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.26%64.74%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86%14.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2%41.8%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77%35.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01%71.98%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 58.6%
    Sevilla 19.72%
    Draw 21.67%
Bayern MunichDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 9.53%
3-1 @ 6.48%
3-0 @ 6.22%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 3.17%
4-0 @ 3.04%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 5.19%
0-0 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 5.3%
0-1 @ 5.2%
0-2 @ 2.71%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.72%


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