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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
HB

Bayern
4 - 3
Hertha Berlin

Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
73.89%15.01%11.1%
Both teams to score 58.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.63%28.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.8%49.2%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.44%6.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.57%24.43%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71%37.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93%74.07%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 73.89%
    Hertha Berlin 11.1%
    Draw 15.01%
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 6.66%
4-0 @ 5.62%
4-1 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 4.01%
5-0 @ 3.06%
5-1 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 2.73%
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-0 @ 1.39%
6-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 73.89%
1-1 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 4.42%
0-0 @ 2.45%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 15.01%
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-1 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-2 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 11.1%


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