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HL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
PreZero Arena
BL

Hoffenheim
4 - 1
Bayern

Bicakcic (16'), Dabour (24'), Kramaric (77', 90+2' pen.)
Geiger (21'), Baumgartner (28'), Kramaric (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kimmich (36')
Neuer (90+1'), Boateng (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 75.3%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
10.85%13.85%75.3%
Both teams to score 63.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.08%22.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.84%42.15%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48%33.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84%70.16%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.87%5.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.62%20.38%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 10.85%
    Bayern Munich 75.3%
    Draw 13.86%
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.05%
1-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-1 @ 1.11%
2-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 10.85%
1-1 @ 5.59%
2-2 @ 4.53%
0-0 @ 1.72%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 13.86%
1-2 @ 8.3%
1-3 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 7.59%
0-3 @ 7.52%
1-4 @ 6.1%
0-4 @ 5.58%
0-1 @ 5.11%
2-3 @ 4.49%
1-5 @ 3.63%
2-4 @ 3.34%
0-5 @ 3.32%
2-5 @ 1.98%
1-6 @ 1.8%
0-6 @ 1.64%
3-4 @ 1.22%
2-6 @ 0.98%
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 75.3%


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