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EF
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Apr 4, 2023 at 5pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
UB

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Kolo (11', 12')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Union Berlin (Union win on penalties)

Though Union have been in the ascendancy of late, Frankfurt are generally a tough nut to crack on home soil. Having both dropped out of Europe, this represents both teams' only realistic route to a trophy, so a fiercely-fought contest could even go all the way to spot-kicks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawUnion Berlin
48.16% (-1.766 -1.77) 25.7% (0.535 0.54) 26.14% (1.233 1.23)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-0.491 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38% (-1.191 -1.19)52.62% (1.193 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73% (-1.028 -1.03)74.27% (1.031 1.03)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-1.246 -1.25)21.86% (1.248 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9% (-1.933 -1.93)55.1% (1.935 1.94)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (0.40300000000001 0.4)35.04% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21% (0.417 0.42)71.79% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 48.15%
    Union Berlin 26.14%
    Draw 25.69%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 11.64% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 7.66% (0.355 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.455 0.45)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.282 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 26.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union SG 3-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-3 Union SG
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 FC Koln
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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