SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
54.47% ( -1.39) | 23.64% ( 0.21) | 21.89% ( 1.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( 1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( 0.51) | 48.1% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( 0.47) | 70.26% ( -0.47) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( -0.32) | 17.55% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( -0.55) | 48.08% ( 0.55) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( 1.46) | 36.36% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( 1.45) | 73.14% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.47% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.89% |
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