With Union Berlin challenging for the Champions League spots and still remaining in the hunt for the Europa League, we can envisage Wolfsburg possessing a little more appetite to win this match.
As such, Kovac may make fewer changes to his strongest XI than Fischer, with the Wolves potentially biting back after seeing their impressive unbeaten run come to an end at the weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
-0.35) 
0.13) 
