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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
EF

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Frankfurt

Werner (6'), Forsberg (40')
Orban (33'), Laimer (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sow (61')
Rode (57'), Sow (76'), Hasebe (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-2 Napoli
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Although both teams may start without their most potent attackers due to fitness concerns, we expect to see an entertaining contest between two of Germany's Champions League representatives on Saturday. While Frankfurt continue to punch above their weight under Glasner, there is little doubt that they are a more effective force on home turf, and we can envisage a narrow Leipzig win as they continue their surge under Rose's tutelage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.35%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawEintracht Frankfurt
54.35% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 22.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.03% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.32% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62% (0.118 0.12)42.37% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (0.115 0.12)64.78% (-0.113 -0.11)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (0.012 0.01)15.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53% (0.023999999999994 0.02)44.46% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.87% (0.14 0.14)32.13% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.39% (0.158 0.16)68.6% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 54.35%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 23.03%
    Draw 22.62%
RB LeipzigDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.1%
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 54.35%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 23.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Stuttgart
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-2 Napoli
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 3-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, February 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 4-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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