DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Audi-Sportpark
Malone (88')
Lorenz (5'), Frode (83'), Cvjetinovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Kaiserslautern.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
| Result |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
24.15% ( 0.31) | 24.02% ( -0.09) | 51.84% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( 0.65) |
| 52.61% ( 0.69) | 47.39% ( -0.68) |
| 30.4% ( 0.63) | 69.6% ( -0.63) |
| 66.1% ( 0.65) | 33.9% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.42% ( 0.69) | 70.57% ( -0.69) |
| 81.73% ( 0.18) | 18.27% ( -0.18) |
