Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0) 
