Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
0.01) 
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