Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.09) 
