Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 75.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 10.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.