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HL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 15, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
KL

Hoffenheim
5 - 0
FC Koln

Bebou (31', 49'), Baumgartner (51'), Geiger (74'), Posch (87')
Kaderabek (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Czichos (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
45.16%24.4%30.44%
Both teams to score 57.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42%44.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.05%66.94%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13%19.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02%51.97%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33%27.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78%63.22%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 45.16%
    FC Koln 30.44%
    Draw 24.39%
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-1 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.44%

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