Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
