Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
