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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Sportpark Heimstetten
UB

Turkgucu Munchen
0 - 1
Union Berlin

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kruse (23')
Andrich (25'), Knoche (52'), Khedira (77'), Ingvartsen (88')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Turkgucu Munchen and Union Berlin.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Turkgucu Munchen had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.2%) and 0-3 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Turkgucu Munchen win it was 1-0 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Turkgucu MunchenDrawUnion Berlin
9.11%16.25%74.64%
Both teams to score 45.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7%41.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.3%63.69%
Turkgucu Munchen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.82%50.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.22%84.78%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.52%9.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.19%31.8%
Score Analysis
    Turkgucu Munchen 9.11%
    Union Berlin 74.64%
    Draw 16.25%
Turkgucu MunchenDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 3.28%
2-1 @ 2.66%
2-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 9.11%
1-1 @ 7.73%
0-0 @ 4.75%
2-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 16.25%
0-2 @ 13.2%
0-1 @ 11.2%
0-3 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 9.11%
1-3 @ 7.15%
0-4 @ 6.11%
1-4 @ 4.21%
0-5 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-5 @ 1.99%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-6 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 74.64%

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