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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
WB

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Werder Bremen

Pohjanpalo (50', 53', 67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
45.02%25.55%29.43%
Both teams to score 53.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9%50.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93%72.07%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78%22.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36%55.64%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5%67.5%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 45.01%
    Werder Bremen 29.43%
    Draw 25.55%
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.92%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.07%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.43%

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