Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
45.02% | 25.55% | 29.43% |
Both teams to score 53.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.9% | 50.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% | 72.07% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.78% | 22.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.36% | 55.64% |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.84% | 31.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.5% | 67.5% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.07% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.43% |
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