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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
UB

Dortmund
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Reus (27'), Guerreiro (88')
Bellingham (70'), Hummels (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knoche (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 13.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawUnion Berlin
68.64%18.25%13.11%
Both teams to score 52.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78%39.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44%61.55%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6%10.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.06%33.94%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46%41.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96%78.03%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 68.63%
    Union Berlin 13.11%
    Draw 18.25%
Borussia DortmundDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.06%
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 7.34%
4-0 @ 4.73%
4-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.22%
5-0 @ 2.14%
5-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 68.63%
1-1 @ 8.59%
0-0 @ 4.32%
2-2 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.25%
0-1 @ 3.8%
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.11%

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