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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 17, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
S

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Promel (20'), Musa (43')
Promel (9'), Trimmel (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Forster (49')
Coulibaly (30'), Karazor (51'), Mavropanos (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
39.14%24.9%35.95%
Both teams to score 58.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.73%45.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.39%67.6%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03%22.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25%56.75%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34%24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82%59.18%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 39.14%
    Stuttgart 35.95%
    Draw 24.9%
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 8.58%
1-0 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.14%
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-1 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 0.98%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 35.95%

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