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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion an der Alexanderstraße
FD

VfL Oldenburg
0 - 5
Dusseldorf


Lameyer (40'), Luca Friedrichs (40'), Frenzel (46')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Hennings (13', 61' pen.), Abbes (23' og.), Kownacki (26' pen.), Shipnoski (70')
Shipnoski (77')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between VfL Oldenburg and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 83.63%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for VfL Oldenburg had a probability of 6.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.08%), while for a VfL Oldenburg win it was 2-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
VfL OldenburgDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
6.32%10.05%83.63%
Both teams to score 58.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.01%18.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.33%36.67%
VfL Oldenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.64%39.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.94%76.06%
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.76%3.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.64%14.36%
Score Analysis
    VfL Oldenburg 6.32%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 83.63%
    Draw 10.05%
VfL OldenburgDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 1.9%
1-0 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 6.32%
1-1 @ 4.08%
2-2 @ 3.27%
0-0 @ 1.28%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 10.05%
0-3 @ 8.6%
1-3 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 7.51%
0-4 @ 7.38%
1-2 @ 7.01%
1-4 @ 6.88%
0-5 @ 5.06%
1-5 @ 4.72%
0-1 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 3.74%
2-4 @ 3.21%
0-6 @ 2.9%
1-6 @ 2.7%
2-5 @ 2.2%
0-7 @ 1.42%
1-7 @ 1.32%
2-6 @ 1.26%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 83.63%

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