Dusseldorf
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Appelkamp (10'), Sobottka (18'), Peterson (87')
Bodzek (43'), Rosler (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Samson (58'), Fandrich (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Fortuna Dusseldorf and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Dusseldorf	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
56.83%	23.03%	20.14%

Both teams to score 51.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34%

47.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.14%

69.85%

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.46%

16.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.69%

46.31%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.13%

37.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.36%

74.64%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Dusseldorf 56.82%

Erzgebirge Aue 20.14%

Draw 23.02%

Fortuna Dusseldorf	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 11.27% 2-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 0.98% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.1% Total : 56.82%	1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.02%	0-1 @ 6.08% 1-2 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.56% Total : 20.14%