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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 7, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Manfred-Werner-Stadion

Weiche Flensburg
2 - 4
Holstein Kiel

Herrmann (104', 110')
Thomsen (51')
FT
(aet)
Arp (94' pen.), Sander (105'), Reese (120'), Bartels (120+2')
van den Bergh (29'), Erras (80'), Muhling (84')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Weiche Flensburg and Holstein Kiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 76.09%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Weiche Flensburg had a probability of 9.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.48%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Weiche Flensburg win it was 2-1 (2.82%).

Result
Weiche FlensburgDrawHolstein Kiel
9.34%14.57%76.09%
Both teams to score 52.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.02%31.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.45%53.54%
Weiche Flensburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.83%43.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.56%79.43%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05%6.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.51%25.49%
Score Analysis
    Weiche Flensburg 9.34%
    Holstein Kiel 76.09%
    Draw 14.57%
Weiche FlensburgDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 2.82%
1-0 @ 2.52%
2-0 @ 1.06%
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.34%
1-1 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 3.77%
0-0 @ 3%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.57%
0-2 @ 10.67%
0-3 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-1 @ 8%
1-3 @ 7.97%
0-4 @ 6.32%
1-4 @ 5.31%
0-5 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-5 @ 2.83%
2-4 @ 2.23%
0-6 @ 1.5%
1-6 @ 1.26%
2-5 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 76.09%

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